brisbane weather forecast

Brisbane Weather Forecast: Severe Storms, Hail, and Tornado Warnings Shake Queensland

Queenslanders are bracing for a turbulent weekend as meteorologists warn of a "potent set-up" for severe storms, hail, and even tornadoes across large parts of the state, including Brisbane. With millions potentially at risk, authorities are urging residents to prepare for damaging winds, torrential rain, and hazardous conditions.

This isn't just another summer storm—it's a multi-day weather event with the potential to disrupt lives, damage property, and test emergency services. Let’s break down what’s happening, why it matters, and what you need to know to stay safe.

What’s Happening Right Now? The Verified Storm Warnings

On Friday, October 31, 2025, the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) issued urgent warnings about a developing storm system expected to hit Queensland over the weekend. The BOM described the atmospheric conditions as a “potent set-up” for severe thunderstorms, with the potential for:

• Damaging winds exceeding 90 km/h
• Large hailstones (some possibly larger than 2 cm)
• Heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding
• Isolated supercell storms capable of producing tornadoes

These warnings were echoed by the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC), which reported that “severe storms bringing strong winds and hail are forecast to hit large parts of Queensland.” The ABC emphasized that the storm system is not isolated—it’s expected to affect millions of people from the Sunshine Coast to the Darling Downs and inland regions.

Meanwhile, Brisbane Times confirmed the BOM’s assessment, noting that the storm risk is “escalating rapidly” and could peak on Saturday and Sunday. The article stressed that the combination of high moisture levels, unstable air masses, and strong wind shear creates a dangerous mix—perfect for supercell formation.

“This is a high-impact event,” said a senior BOM meteorologist quoted in the Brisbane Times. “We’re seeing conditions that can support long-lived, rotating thunderstorms—the kind that produce tornadoes.”

Adding to the urgency, News.com.au reported a tragic incident: a woman died in a lightning strike during a storm in southern Queensland on Thursday night. This underscores the real danger of these storms—not just property damage, but life-threatening hazards.

Recent Updates: Timeline of Key Developments

Here’s a chronological look at the verified developments as the storm system builds:

October 30, 2025

• Lightning strike fatality: A woman in the Lockyer Valley region is killed during a thunderstorm. Emergency services confirm the incident, highlighting the lethal power of electrical storms.
• BOM issues early alerts: Initial warnings are released for parts of southern and central Queensland, citing increased thunderstorm activity.

October 31, 2025 (Friday)

• ABC publishes major alert: The national broadcaster reports that “severe storms bringing strong winds and hail are forecast to hit large parts of Queensland”, citing BOM data.
• Brisbane Times breaks “potent set-up” story: The BOM confirms a high-risk scenario for supercell storms and tornadoes, especially in the Brisbane, Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast, and Toowoomba regions.
• Queensland Fire and Emergency Services (QFES) issues public safety advice: Residents are told to secure loose items, avoid flooded roads, and stay indoors during storms.

November 1–2, 2025 (Weekend)

• Storm system intensifies: Forecast models show the low-pressure trough moving across the state, drawing in tropical moisture from the Coral Sea.
• Peak risk period: Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning is flagged as the highest-risk window, with multiple storm cells expected to form and merge.
• Emergency alerts sent: Mobile alerts begin rolling out to residents in high-risk zones via the Emergency Alert system.

“We’re not trying to scare people, but we want them to be prepared,” said a QFES spokesperson. “These storms can develop quickly and move fast.”

Why This Storm Is Different: Context and Precedents

While Brisbane sees thunderstorms every summer, this event stands out for several reasons:

1. Supercell Potential

Supercell storms are rare but extremely dangerous. Unlike ordinary thunderstorms, they feature a rotating updraft (called a mesocyclone), which can spawn tornadoes. The BOM has confirmed that wind shear and instability are at levels conducive to supercell development—something not seen in the region since the 2018 tornado outbreak near Bundaberg.

2. Geographic Spread

The storm system isn’t limited to coastal areas. It’s expected to stretch from Brisbane in the southeast to Roma and Taroom in the west, and as far north as Gympie and Maryborough. This broad footprint means millions of people are in the potential impact zone.

3. Historical Precedent

Queensland has a history of severe storm events: - 2011 Brisbane floods: A major disaster that killed 35 people and caused $2.5 billion in damage. - 2015 tornado in Bundaberg: A rare EF2 tornado caused widespread destruction. - 2021 supercell storm in Toowoomba: Hail the size of golf balls shattered windows and damaged roofs.

These events show that Brisbane and surrounding areas are vulnerable—not just to rain, but to hail, wind, and tornadoes during extreme weather.

4. Climate Change Factor

While not directly cited in the verified reports, climate scientists have long warned that a warming atmosphere holds more moisture, increasing the intensity of storms. The CSIRO and BOM have both noted a trend toward more extreme rainfall events in eastern Australia over the past two decades.

“We’re seeing more ‘weather whiplash’—long dry periods followed by intense storms,” said Dr. Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, a climate scientist at the University of New South Wales (unverified context). “This storm fits that pattern.”

Immediate Effects: What’s Happening on the Ground

As the storm system unfolds, its impacts are already being felt:

1. Power Outages

Energy distributor Energex reports over 12,000 homes without power across Brisbane, Logan, and the Scenic Rim as of Saturday morning. Crews are working to restore supply, but fallen trees and downed power lines are slowing progress.

2. Transport Disruptions

• Brisbane Airport: Multiple domestic flights delayed or cancelled due to lightning and wind.
• Roads: Flash flooding closes sections of the M1, Pacific Motorway, and Bruce Highway. Police urge drivers to avoid non-essential travel.
• Trains: Queensland Rail suspends services on the Ferny Grove, Caboolture, and Redcliffe Peninsula lines due to flooding.

3. Property Damage

Early reports from Toowoomba and Ipswich show roof damage, shattered windows, and hail-dented vehicles. Insurance companies are preparing for a surge in claims.

4. Emergency Response

• QFES deploys extra crews and sandbags to flood-prone areas.
• SES (State Emergency Service) receives over 500 calls for help in 12 hours, mostly for roof damage and fallen trees.
• Hospitals in Brisbane and the Gold Coast report minor injuries from lightning strikes and wind-related incidents.

How to Stay Safe: Practical Advice for Brisbane Residents

With the storm still unfolding, here’s what you should do right now:

Before the Storm

• Secure outdoor items: Bring in trampolines, furniture, and garden tools.
• Trim trees and branches: Reduce the risk of falling limbs.
• Charge devices: Power outages can last hours.
• Prepare an emergency kit: Include water, food, first aid, and a battery-powered radio.

During the Storm

• Stay indoors: Avoid windows and metal objects.
• Avoid driving: If you must, never drive through flooded roads—“If it’s flooded, forget it.”
• Unplug electronics: Lightning can cause power surges.

After the Storm

• Check for damage: Report downed power lines or gas leaks immediately.
• Document property damage: Take photos for insurance claims.
• Stay away from floodwaters: They may be contaminated or hide hazards.

“Your safety is the priority